Tren Griffin on Richard Zeckhauser

“People feel that 50% is magical and they don’t like to do things where they don’t have 50% odds. I know that is not a good idea, so I am willing to make some bets where you say it is 20% likely to work but you get a big pay-off if it works, and only has a small cost if it does not. I will take that gamble. Most successful investments in new companies are where the odds are against you but, if you succeed, you will succeed in a big way.”

Much useful information about the need to overcome loss aversion AND the difficulty of visualizing an amazing result. Solution? Learn to look for situations as described. I’ll be looking more into this.

https://25iq.com/2018/09/08/risk-uncertainty-and-ignorance-in-investing-and-business-lessons-from-richard-zeckhauser/

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